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Bountiful Market Updated: February 2024 Position Report

Bountiful Market is updated with new data from the  February 2024 Almond Board of California position report.

Log in to Market on the Bountiful platform for your:

  • Monthly Shipments
  • Carry-out trends
  • Crop Receipts by Variety
  • Total Marketable Supply, Shipments vs Commitments 



๐Ÿ“ˆ Almond Crop Receipts Down Over 2022 

February's position report marks the seventh month of the 2023/2024 marketing year. Crop receipts to date:  2,409,424,554 lbs down -4.50% over last year.

Monthly new crop receipts: 
The monthly new crop received per ABC form 1 reporting

  • February:  18,206,358 lbs down -88.84% over January
  • January:  163,098,138 lbs

 

๐Ÿ“Š TMS, Shipments & Commitments

February's new crop receipts bring the 2023 Total Marketable Supply to 3,161,528,400 lbsdown -4.46% over last year. 

2023/2024 % TMS shipped to date: 50.67% up +6.75% over last month up +4.81% over last year.

2023/2024 % Sold to date: 70.62% up + 6.42% over last month and up +1.06% over last year.

Bountiful Platform, Market Screenshot, 3/12/24

 

๐Ÿšข 2023 Shipments 

February's shipments: 221,129,561 lbs down -6.27% over last month and down -10.01% over last year.

2023/2024 total shipments to date: 1,601,802,626 lbs up +5.57% over last year.

Bountiful Market February Shipment Screenshot, 3/12/24

 

๐Ÿ”ฎ Future Demand 

Total new sales for February: 214,609,074 lbs down -9.03% over last month and up +12.79% over last year.

 

๐Ÿ“ˆ Crop Receipt Projections

Following the December position report we run a forward projection on ABC form 1 crop receipts to get an idea of the total size of the crop. 

The methodology we use for our crop receipt projections is different from our in-season machine learning forecasts. Our 2023 in-season forecasts are complete and have not been updated since we released a final forecast in July. 

For our crop receipt projection, we only use ABC form 1 crop receipt data for current and historical years. The model we use looks for a pattern in how crop receipts are coming in month over month.

As of February ABC form 1 crop receipts, final crop receipts are projected to be 2.44-2.46 B lbs. You can reference this in the image below 2023/2024 marketing year is in light blue.

Screen Shot 2024-03-12 at 11.05.51 AM

 

๐Ÿ“Š Bountiful's 2023 forecasts

Following the August position report, we publicly share all forecasts released on the Bountiful platform, to our Premium, Farm, and Industry Subscribers, throughout the 2023 crop year.

Subscribe to Almond Update for our 2023 acreage, yield, and production forecasts.