Bountiful Market is updated with new data from the April 2023 Almond Board of California position report.
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April's position report is the ninth receiving month of the 2022/2023 marketing year. Total crop receipts to date: 2,563,537,458 lbs down -11.75% over last year.
Monthly new crop receipts:
The monthly new crop received per ABC form 1 reporting
April's total shipments: 197,255,980 lbs down -19.57% over April last year and down -29.82% over last month's March shipments: 281,069,291 lbs.
2022/2023 total shipments to date: 1,995,667,557 lbs up +3.49% over last year
Total new sales for April: 114,684,207 lbs, down -20.14% over March's new sales of 143,601,940 lbs.
Following the release of December's position report we start running a forward projection on ABC form 1 crop receipts, every month, to get an idea of the total size of the crop.
The methodology we use for our crop receipt projections is different from our in-season machine learning forecasts. Our 2022 in-season forecasts are complete and have not been updated since we released a final forecast in July.
As of April ABC form 1 crop receipts, 2022 final crop receipts are projected to be 2.569 B - 2.579 B lbs. You can reference this in the image below 2022/2023 marketing year is in light blue.
You'll notice 2022 crop receipts receiving pattern below looks very similar to 2019 and 2020.
Following the August position report, we publicly shared all forecasts released on the Bountiful platform, to our Farm and Industry customers, throughout the 2022 crop year.
Forecast performance
Now that we've received the April position report we start benchmarking our error performance for all forecasts released by Bountiful. Please note, we will continue to update our actual error through the remaining receiving months of the 2022 crop year.
Below you'll find Bountiful's 2022 forecast performance by month as of the April position report for yield, production, and acreage.
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